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000 
FXUS64 KOUN 111723 AAC
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1123 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017

.AVIATION...
11/18Z TAFs. VFR conditions to continue. Gusty northwest winds
will be seen behind a surface trough that will progress slowly
across Oklahoma and northern Texas this afternoon. Winds will
become more northerly but gusts should subside after 00-02Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1053 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/ 

UPDATE...
Lowered dewpoints a few degrees based on observations/trends. Red
Flag Warning will remain as is with gusty northerly winds being
the main driving mechanism. Although winds may be somewhat on the
marginal side across west-central into northwest Oklahoma for Red
Flag conditions, ERC-G values from there extending into the 
Panhandles are approaching record levels for the time of 
year.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 458 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/ 

DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail through Tuesday morning. Winds will
become north and northwest this morning and gusty before subsiding
tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 328 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/ 

DISCUSSION...
A red flag warning is in effect this afternoon for northern
Oklahoma. A front will bring gusty north and northwest winds today
into the already very dry airmass. High temperatures today will be
10 to 20 degrees above normals as they will again Wednesday. Air
masses that pass behind the fronts today and Wednesday will bring
temperatures close to normals on Tuesday and Thursday. The roller
coaster from mild to very warm and no precipitation this week will
keep wildfire potential elevated most days. Into the weekend the
northwest flow pattern shifts toward more westerly and more
persistently warm. An upper trough that passes through the 
southern plains late next weekend probably will not have 
sufficient moisture to cause much chance for rain until it is east
of Oklahoma; thus, the very dry and warm December continues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  32  51  33 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         68  30  56  32 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  71  33  55  34 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           65  27  57  32 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     62  27  50  30 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         70  37  53  34 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ004>020.

TX...None.

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