Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

FXUS64 KOUN 172016

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
216 PM CST Sat Nov 17 2018

Cold front that is currently from Stillwater to near Altus OK 
will continue to move across the area the rest of this afternoon 
into this evening. Breezy north winds, clouds, and colder air will
move in behind the front. Temperatures have been falling shortly 
after the frontal passage. Drizzle and/or light rain will be 
possible tonight into Sunday morning across portions of the fa. 
Some of the precipitation could become freezing drizzle and/or 
freezing rain overnight. With any freezing precip expected to be 
light and patchy along with being over a relatively short period 
of time in any one location due to drier air moving into the 
region, will not issue a winter weather advisory at this time but 
if the freezing precipitation ends up being heavier and/or over a 
longer period of time an advisory may be needed on later shifts.

Sunday will be cold with highs in the 30s and 40s. However, the cold 
conditions will be brief with temperatures warming back up into the 
50s and eventually 60s next week. Models show an upper ridge 
developing over the Rockies with a shortwave undercutting the base 
of the ridge and then moving across the southern Plains. This 
shortwave could bring a chance for rain to southern parts of the fa 
although still some question as to path of this system which would 
have an impact of location of rain, if it occurs at all. Otherwise, 
conditions will remain dry and relatively mild through Thursday. 
Models show an upper trough moving across the Plains late next week 
which could bring another chance for rain to parts of the fa. This 
trough will be the first in several systems that the models show 
could affect the region through next weekend which may bring 
additional precipitation chances. 


Oklahoma City OK  32  38  29  56 /  20  10   0   0 
Hobart OK         31  42  30  57 /  10   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  37  44  32  57 /  10  10   0   0 
Gage OK           25  39  28  55 /  10   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     31  38  26  54 /  20  10   0   0 
Durant OK         42  43  34  55 /  30  10   0   0 



National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations