Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
533 am CST Friday Mar 6 2015 


Aviation... 
06/12z tafs...VFR conditions will prevail. Southwest winds will 
increase and gust around 20 knots mainly central and western 
Oklahoma terminals 15z to 21z time frame. 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 430 am CST Friday Mar 6 2015/ 


Discussion... 
mild weather trend will continue into and through next week. 
Caveat will be increasing chances for showers Sunday into Monday 
and again late next week. Model trends a little farther north with 
axis of Theta-E advection ahead of shortwave trough that ejects from 
northern Mexico and southwest Texas. Probability of precipitation across southern and 
eastern portions of the County Warning Area were raised...and will be raised much 
more if current wet trend of models continues. GFS is the drier of 
the models...but WRF/Gem/ecm all agree that Sunday could be a 
rainy day across southeast half of Oklahoma. 


Warmer and dry weather most of next week before longwave trough 
tries to progress eastward into central United States late next 
week bringing next chance for rain. Complicated pattern with ecm 
depicting Rex block over intermountain region into plains just 
beyond this forecast package. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 51 29 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 
Hobart OK 50 27 59 37 / 0 0 0 0 
Wichita Falls Texas 54 28 61 38 / 0 0 0 10 
gage OK 58 26 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 
Ponca City OK 55 28 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 
Durant OK 49 29 58 38 / 0 0 0 10 


&& 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


84/11 






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