000 
fxus65 ktwc 272119 
afdtwc 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tucson Arizona 
219 PM MST sun may 27 2018 


Synopsis...expect dry conditions into next weekend. Daytime 
temperatures will trend upward through Tuesday, then above normal 
temperatures continuing the rest of the week. Gusty winds should 
return the second half of the week. 


&& 


Discussion...our pattern will maintain some form of troughiness 
northwest of our area with a strengthening ridge slowly building 
in from Mexico. A weak impulse northwest of our area will help 
tighten the surface gradient again Thursday and/or Friday with 
gusty winds in the afternoon. Otherwise, a gradual heating trend 
through the week will top out next weekend with thicknesses 
supporting a 105+ from Tucson into the lower deserts by next 
Sunday. This decade the earliest 105 at tus is may 21st, with the 
latest June 15th, so next Sunday (june 3rd) would be in the 
ballpark. 


&& 


Aviation...valid through 29/00z. 
Mostly clear with some patchy cirrus spreading in from the 
southwest overnight. Surface wind this afternoon and early 
evening swly to nwly 8-18 kts with occasional gusts near 25 kts. 
Surface wind variable in direction mainly less than 10 kts at 
other times. Aviation discussion not updated for taf amendments. 


&& 


Fire weather...dry conditions into next weekend. Expect normal 
wind trends early in the week, with gusty winds at times the 
latter part of this week. 


&& 


Twc watches/warnings/advisories...none. 


&& 


$$ 



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