Tropical Storm Jose

Last Updated: 1506027600

Location:
39.6N 67.9W
Movement:
N at 0 mph
Wind:
50 mph
Pressure:
987 mb

Storm Maps
Storm Details

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Jose is still producing some convective bands well to the north and
west of the center. The outer-most bands are brushing the coast of
extreme southeastern New England, where tropical-storm-force winds,
especially in gusts, have been occurring for much of the day. An
ascat pass from earlier today showed maximum winds near 45 kt, and
since the cyclone appears to have weakened since that time, the
initial wind speed is lowered slightly to that value.


Cool waters, dry air, and an increase in wind shear should cause
Jose to continue weakening, and model simulated satellite images
suggest that Jose should become a Post-tropical cyclone in about 24
hours, or sooner. The intensity models are in very good agreement,
and the NHC forecast is an update of the previous one.


Jose has been meandering off the southern New England coastline
during the past several hours. Since the cyclone is expected to
remain in weak steering currents, little motion is forecast during
the next few days. The NHC track forecast is similar to the
previous one and in general agreement with the consensus aids.


The initial wind radii have been modified based on ascat data from
around 1500 UTC. The forecast wind radii follows the guidance
provided by noaa's ocean prediction center.


Key messages:


1. Tropical-storm-force winds, especially in gusts, are occuring
within the Tropical Storm Warning area. These conditions are
expected to continue through tonight.


2. Minor coastal flooding is possible along portions of the coast of
southern New England during the next few days. Please see products
issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices.


3. Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda and much of the
U.S. East Coast, and will likely cause dangerous surf and rip
current conditions for the next couple of days in these areas.


Forecast positions and Max winds


Init 21/2100z 39.6n 67.9w 45 kt 50 mph
12h 22/0600z 39.5n 68.3w 45 kt 50 mph
24h 22/1800z 39.5n 68.8w 40 kt 45 mph...Post-tropical
36h 23/0600z 39.2n 68.8w 40 kt 45 mph...Post-tropical
48h 23/1800z 39.0n 68.2w 35 kt 40 mph...Post-tropical
72h 24/1800z 38.9n 67.0w 30 kt 35 mph...Post-trop/remnt low
96h 25/1800z...dissipated


$$
forecaster cangialosi


Learn more about Tropical Storm Jose and the 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season in our hurricane archive.

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Storm Track Statistics

Date Time Lat Lon Wind (mph) Pressure Storm Type
Sep 05 1500 GMT 12.3 -39.1 40 1008 Tropical Storm
Sep 05 2100 GMT 12.5 -40.6 45 1006 Tropical Storm
Sep 06 0300 GMT 12.3 -41.7 50 1004 Tropical Storm
Sep 06 0900 GMT 12.5 -42.8 60 1002 Tropical Storm
Sep 06 1500 GMT 13.1 -44.5 70 998 Tropical Storm
Sep 06 2100 GMT 13.9 -45.8 75 994 Hurricane
Sep 07 0300 GMT 14.4 -47.5 85 989 Hurricane
Sep 07 0900 GMT 14.8 -49.1 90 986 Hurricane
Sep 07 1500 GMT 14.9 -50.6 90 986 Hurricane
Sep 07 2100 GMT 15.5 -52.4 120 966 Hurricane
Sep 08 0300 GMT 15.6 -53.9 120 966 Hurricane
Sep 08 0900 GMT 16.0 -55.3 125 957 Hurricane
Sep 08 1500 GMT 16.3 -57.1 150 942 Hurricane
Sep 08 2100 GMT 16.6 -58.3 150 940 Hurricane
Sep 09 0300 GMT 16.9 -59.3 155 938 Hurricane
Sep 09 0900 GMT 17.5 -60.3 150 940 Hurricane
Sep 09 1500 GMT 18.3 -61.3 145 945 Hurricane
Sep 10 0300 GMT 19.8 -63.4 135 944 Hurricane
Sep 10 0900 GMT 20.8 -64.5 135 944 Hurricane
Sep 10 1500 GMT 21.7 -65.8 135 944 Hurricane
Sep 10 2100 GMT 22.8 -66.9 120 956 Hurricane
Sep 11 0300 GMT 23.7 -68.1 115 962 Hurricane
Sep 11 0900 GMT 24.4 -68.6 105 968 Hurricane
Sep 11 1500 GMT 25.5 -69.1 105 968 Hurricane
Sep 11 2100 GMT 26.4 -69.2 100 973 Hurricane
Sep 12 0300 GMT 27.1 -69.5 85 982 Hurricane
Sep 12 0900 GMT 27.5 -69.0 75 987 Hurricane
Sep 12 1500 GMT 27.5 -68.3 75 987 Hurricane
Sep 12 2100 GMT 27.6 -67.4 75 987 Hurricane
Sep 13 0300 GMT 26.5 -66.4 75 985 Hurricane
Sep 13 0900 GMT 26.1 -66.0 75 985 Hurricane
Sep 13 1500 GMT 25.5 -65.6 75 985 Hurricane
Sep 13 2100 GMT 25.3 -65.6 75 988 Hurricane
Sep 14 0300 GMT 25.2 -66.0 80 985 Hurricane
Sep 14 0900 GMT 25.1 -66.5 75 986 Hurricane
Sep 14 1500 GMT 24.9 -66.6 70 989 Tropical Storm
Sep 14 2100 GMT 25.2 -67.3 70 989 Tropical Storm
Sep 15 0300 GMT 25.5 -68.0 70 989 Tropical Storm
Sep 15 0900 GMT 25.9 -68.7 70 989 Tropical Storm
Sep 15 1500 GMT 26.5 -69.4 70 989 Tropical Storm
Sep 15 2100 GMT 27.1 -70.3 75 983 Hurricane
Sep 16 0300 GMT 27.4 -71.0 80 983 Hurricane
Sep 16 0900 GMT 27.9 -71.8 80 983 Hurricane
Sep 16 1500 GMT 28.8 -72.2 80 982 Hurricane
Sep 16 2100 GMT 28.9 -71.9 80 973 Hurricane
Sep 17 0300 GMT 29.2 -71.8 80 973 Hurricane
Sep 17 0900 GMT 30.0 -71.7 80 973 Hurricane
Sep 17 1500 GMT 31.0 -71.9 90 967 Hurricane
Sep 17 2100 GMT 31.5 -71.8 90 967 Hurricane
Sep 18 0300 GMT 32.2 -71.6 90 972 Hurricane
Sep 18 0900 GMT 33.0 -71.4 85 974 Hurricane
Sep 18 1500 GMT 33.9 -71.1 75 977 Hurricane
Sep 18 2100 GMT 34.8 -71.1 75 977 Hurricane
Sep 19 0300 GMT 35.2 -71.3 75 975 Hurricane
Sep 19 0900 GMT 36.0 -71.3 75 971 Hurricane
Sep 19 1500 GMT 36.5 -71.7 75 976 Hurricane
Sep 20 0300 GMT 37.9 -70.8 70 973 Tropical Storm
Sep 20 1500 GMT 39.0 -70.0 70 976 Tropical Storm
Sep 20 2100 GMT 39.2 -69.1 70 976 Tropical Storm
Sep 21 0300 GMT 39.5 -68.3 65 979 Tropical Storm

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