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Severe Thunderstorm Threat Arrives in the East Tuesday After Tornadoes, Damaging Winds Rake Parts of the South Monday Night
Published: November 6, 2018
Severe thunderstorms packing a threat of damaging winds will flare up in parts of the East Tuesday after parts of the South were ravaged by tornadoes and damaging winds Monday and Monday night.
A left over line of t-storms is currently rolling through the western Carolinas, north Georgia and Alabama.
Current Radar, Watches and Warnings
Based on storm reports and radar-indicated tornadic debris signatures, we estimate at least 11 tornadoes may have tore through four states Monday into early Tuesday, from northern Louisiana to east Tennessee and northeast Alabama.
A number of National Weather Service offices will be conducting damage surveys Tuesday and possibly Wednesday, to determine paths and intensity of tornadoes.
Overall, there were roughly 80 reports of severe weather received by NWS offices from this event.
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To the southeast in Franklin County, Tennessee, two homes were damaged early Tuesday morning near the town of Estill Springs, about 50 miles west-northwest of Chattanooga. A fire truck was blown off the road trying to respond to the damage.
Numerous trees were reported down on the west side of Knoxville early Tuesday from wind gusts up to 63 mph as the squall line roared through.
Widespread tree damage from thunderstorm winds was also reported in Blount County, Tennessee, south of Knoxville.
Outbuildings and barns were damaged near Scottsboro, Alabama, in the far northeast corner of the state, from a tornado confirmed by the National Weather Service.
Two separate tornado tracks were confirmed by a NWS survey team. One of those tornadoes was spotted Monday evening in Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana, where damage was reported near Natchez and Natchitoches.
The other tornado track damaged at least one home in Marthaville, Louisiana.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected ahead of a cold front Tuesday from the mid-Atlantic states to southern Alabama.
These severe storms should be largely over with by late afternoon in the mid-Atlantic states as a cold front sweeps through.
However, at least widely-scattered strong to severe t-storms may persist into the early evening from the eastern Carolinas to parts of south Georgia and southern Alabama.
Damaging thunderstorm wind gusts are the primary concern Tuesday, though a few tornadoes can't be ruled out, as well as locally heavy rainfall.
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Tuesday's Severe Thunderstorm Forecast
Second Severe Weather Season
Although the threat of tornadoes is generally highest in the spring, fall is considered the second severe weather season.
The highest threat of tornadoes in November is from eastern Texas into Alabama, which is included in the area to watch this week.
This is due to southward dips in the jet stream and cold fronts that track across the South and Midwest, where warmer temperatures and higher dew points are more likely to be found in November compared to areas farther north.
Just two years ago, November had more than 35 tornadoes from Louisiana to the Carolinas. Three of these tornadoes were rated EF3, and there were five deaths.
Another recent November tornado outbreak occurred on Nov. 17, 2013, when over 70 tornadoes tore across seven states. More than 50 of those tornadoes were in Illinois and Indiana. Two tornadoes from this outbreak were rated EF4, and three were rated EF3.
In late-November 1992, there was a tornado outbreak with more than 90 tornadoes across the South that killed 26.
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