- Day Three
acus02 kwns 150520
Storm Prediction Center ac 150520
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
Valid 161200z - 171200z
..no thunderstorm areas forecast...
weak convection may be observed across parts of the northeastern
United States Friday but the Prospect for lightning is low.
Focused large-scale forcing for ascent will spread across New
England during the day2 period in association with exit region of
mid-level jet. Latest model guidance suggests mid-level lapse rates
will steepen along this corridor such that elevated convection will
likely be noted north of deepening surface low. However, overall
buoyancy will likely be too weak to warrant 10% thunder
probabilities despite the possibility for a few lightning strikes.
For these reasons have removed thunder to this part of the country.
..maximum risk by hazard...
Tornado: <2% - none
wind: <5% - none
hail: <5% - none