Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
617 am CDT Thursday Sep 29 2016 

12z taf discussion below. 


VFR conditions expected this taf period with some high clouds 
across portions of the area. 


Previous discussion... /issued 312 am CDT Thursday Sep 29 2016/ 

Fall weather has returned and should continue for at least the 
next couple of days with highs only climbing into the 70s today and 
Friday. The temperatures along with fairly light winds and mostly 
sunny skies should lead to a couple of pleasant days across the 
area. Temperatures will begin to warm a bit over the weekend into 
early next week with highs reaching the 80s most of that time. 

An upper ridge will continue over parts of the region for the rest 
of the work week with a closed low over the Ohio Valley and upper 
trough along the West Coast. This will continue to leave the area 
dry for at least a couple more days. There will be a low chance for 
showers/storms Saturday night in northwest parts of the fa. Otherwise, most 
of the area will remain dry through the weekend. 

Models have come into better agreement on tonight's 0z model runs in 
regards to the upper pattern for early next week compared to 
yesterday's 0z runs. Models show the upper trough/low moving into 
and across the western U.S. This weekend and early next week with 
the upper low centered over Wyoming by 12z Tuesday. The upper 
low/trough will continue to move east or northeast Tuesday/Wednesday 
with a dryline and cold front expected to affect the region. This 
system will bring a chance for showers/storms to the fa starting 
Monday night and continuing into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms 
may be possible Tuesday but there are still some uncertainties, 
especially on how much low-level moisture will be able to return to 
the area. 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 72 50 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 
Hobart OK 73 49 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 
Wichita Falls Texas 73 51 77 54 / 0 0 0 0 
gage OK 72 48 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 
Ponca City OK 70 47 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 
Durant OK 76 51 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 



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